The Vintage Forum Weather Thread
08-23-2020, 07:29 AM
#161
Mike, good luck and stay safe.
08-23-2020, 07:36 AM
#162
08-24-2020, 05:51 AM
#163
Looks like the model that has had the most success with these storms (UKMET) is pushing Laura way west into Galveston area. Everyone there needs to consider evacuating...this extended period of time over warm gulf waters will increase the chances of a CAT 3+ (major) hurricane.
08-24-2020, 05:59 AM
#164
Yeah, right now showing as a Cat 2.
08-25-2020, 10:39 AM
#165
Up to a Cat 3. Jim, I hope all will be well in Bellaire - God willing and the crick (bayou) don't rise!!
Last edited by MsPerky; 08-25-2020 at 10:42 AM.
08-25-2020, 05:56 PM
#167
Former Moderator
Thread Starter
Thanks, y'all! I'm in Durango right now but family is in Houston! I'm concerned that it will bad in Houston. But Laura is still projected to land slightly east of Houston. toi toi toi
08-25-2020, 07:41 PM
#168
Current projection calls for the center of Laura to hit the Texas/Louisiana border. That would put Houston on the west side of the eye, which is the side you want to be on if it hits that close to you. We may get as much rain out of Laura as Houston does if the prediction holds. But I understand your concern, Jim, considering Houston's recent experience with tropical systems, rain, etc. Here's hoping your town is spared the worst of it.
08-26-2020, 04:05 AM
#169
Laura has been upgraded to Cat 4!! 
08-26-2020, 05:27 AM
#170
Just to clarify, as of 8AM EDT, Laura was still a cat 3 storm with maximum sustained winds of 115 MPH near the eye wall. She is forecast to increase in intensity before landfall, possibly to a catagory 4 storm.
Here is the update from NOAA: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...l/211147.shtml
Cat 3 is plenty bad enough. Katrina hit the Gulf Coast as a cat 3 storm and the winds did plenty of damage, never mind the storm surge which swept away houses two blocks north of the beach and caused extensive flooding well inland along rivers, bayous, and bays. At this point one thing is certain: towns near, and east of the Louisiana-Texas border are in for a severe pounding.
Here is the update from NOAA: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...l/211147.shtml
Cat 3 is plenty bad enough. Katrina hit the Gulf Coast as a cat 3 storm and the winds did plenty of damage, never mind the storm surge which swept away houses two blocks north of the beach and caused extensive flooding well inland along rivers, bayous, and bays. At this point one thing is certain: towns near, and east of the Louisiana-Texas border are in for a severe pounding.