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Estimate of # of them left on the road

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Old 02-27-2014 | 09:20 AM
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J Schmidt's Avatar
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Default Estimate of # of them left on the road

This article(http://www.propertycasualty360.com/2...claims-in-2014)got me to thinking again about the question "How many S2000s are still out there?"
I used the official S2KI production numbers and used a total loss of 3%.

https://www.nada.org/NR/rdonlyres/AB...ummaryWC08.pdf
cars totaled/cars on road in 2013=~3%
http://www.howmanyleft.co.uk/vehicle/honda_s2000
Year to year change in registration is -(3-4%)
So I went conservative and used 3% and rounded down.
Sound reasonable?
Old 02-27-2014 | 09:58 AM
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Interesting perspective. Do you have the table above with original production numbers? This is for US only production, correct?
Old 02-27-2014 | 10:58 AM
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Thanks for taking the time to post this, I have been wondering the same thing. Having the most common color combination in the second most common year (01' silverstone w/ black interior), I don't feel my car is so rare

With that said, for people that are looking to buy, finding a clean one with lower mileage is becoming much more difficult to find, and when you do the premium is becoming more and more. This is a car that I could see appreciating over the next ten years, though not to the degree of muscle cars or certain older Ferraris.

And to go back on topic, you will see about the same number of AP2's as you do AP1's, which I didn't realize. The AP1's currently on the road outnumber the AP2's by only about 2,000 total. I would have guessed it was more like two AP1's for every AP2, but I guess the longer production run of the AP2 accounts for the closeness in numbers despite fewer being produced each year.
Old 02-27-2014 | 01:09 PM
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Originally Posted by spessx
Interesting perspective. Do you have the table above with original production numbers? This is for US only production, correct?
correct
https://www.s2ki.com/s2000/topic/729...-of-us-s2000s/
Old 02-27-2014 | 01:54 PM
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Glad I got a GPW AP1 while I could

Hate to see the numbers reducing the way they are, but it makes me feel like my car is more valuable. These cars are definitely going to pull a pretty penny one day.
Old 02-27-2014 | 02:04 PM
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Judging from the amount "just wrecked" threads from idiot teenagers who destroy the car within the first six months of ownership, you'd think the numbers are dropping fast.
Old 02-27-2014 | 02:29 PM
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Wow there's a ton of silvers out there
Old 02-27-2014 | 03:10 PM
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How many of those have matching panels? What are the crash and repair stats? I would assume 25% of the S2000's on the road have been involved in a minor to major crash.

Then you have all of the AP1 to AP2 conversions. The AP1 in true stock form, with all its panels could be around 50% of all AP1's on the road.
Old 02-27-2014 | 03:18 PM
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Originally Posted by Mark355
Judging from the amount "just wrecked" threads from idiot teenagers who destroy the car within the first six months of ownership, you'd think the numbers are dropping fast.
It gets worse when you go to the general salvage yard websites and see all the wrecked S2000s. Since the S2000 is on average 10 years old, you are essentially talking 30% gone already.
Old 02-27-2014 | 05:22 PM
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I guess a 3% attrition rate is probably a pretty good guess, but there are a lot of factors that make the attrition of the S2000 different than most other vehicles:
  • More aggressive drivers, so the accident rate is probably higher than average.
  • The cars are keeping their value better than most cars, making them worthwhile to repair.
  • Since AP1 crate engines aren't available anymore, used engines are becoming more valuable. That may tip the scale between parting the car out and fixing it.
It would be nice to see if someone can dig up the number of registered S2000s on the road. I know those numbers are available somehow because I've seen TV ads by car companies bragging about their percentages.


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