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Predict the Dow/S&P bottom!

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Old 08-15-2020 | 06:30 AM
  #41  
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Yep kind of insane. I want to put money back in but can't find anything worth buying at these prices. Would love to see a correction.
Old 08-17-2020 | 01:22 PM
  #42  
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Originally Posted by rwheelz
Yep kind of insane. I want to put money back in but can't find anything worth buying at these prices. Would love to see a correction.
Over the long run, for most people, time in the market is more valuable than timing the market.

My accounts that I had 100% invested in the markets (various indexes), already recovered their losses, and are actually profitable above the market highs hit in February. My more actively managed accounts have recovered quite a bit but have under-performed my passive accounts where I did nothing... (I should follow my own advice... haha)

Old 08-19-2020 | 08:51 AM
  #43  
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Yes, I made the same mistake my friend. Now I want to see a correction so I can go all-in and stop looking at it for a decade.
Old 12-31-2020 | 01:20 PM
  #44  
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What a year.

If you stayed invested in the S&P 500 all year, your return was just over 15%. If you missed the five best days, your return was negative 20%.
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Old 12-31-2020 | 03:27 PM
  #45  
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Originally Posted by Harpoon
What a year.

If you stayed invested in the S&P 500 all year, your return was just over 15%. If you missed the five best days, your return was negative 20%.
definitely should have just gone balls deep when the VIX spiked over 80... Still had a really good year though.

Good job on you calling it. Lesson learned for me. Doesn't matter what economic state 90% of the population is in - stock market is detached from that...
Old 02-11-2021 | 10:55 AM
  #46  
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Originally Posted by Bullwings
definitely should have just gone balls deep when the VIX spiked over 80... Still had a really good year though.

Good job on you calling it. Lesson learned for me. Doesn't matter what economic state 90% of the population is in - stock market is detached from that...
Unemployment lags, stocks lead. Worse than that, the more public an entity is that tries to get a snapshot, the more it shifts (Heisenberg-esque?).

My wealth manager is looking at the macroeconomics, and we're in the back end of a Bull Market. Keep watching for optimism getting turned into drunken euphoria. When things start getting too optimistic is when either we get a whimper or a wallop into a Bear Market.
Old 04-10-2023 | 08:39 PM
  #47  
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Originally Posted by Harpoon
Inflation and higher taxes are the likely cost of Fed action. And Chase 10 year CDs are now paying 0.20 per cent. A fixed income portfolio (bonds, CDs, MM) will lose close to a third in value over a 20 year holding period. Conservative investors have never had it so bad.
Wow, I was clairvoyant.
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Old 04-11-2023 | 07:11 AM
  #48  
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Originally Posted by Harpoon
Wow, I was clairvoyant.
Truly amazing.

What's your prediction now 3-5 years out?
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