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Old 06-30-2008, 05:14 PM
  #171  
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This is an interesting video clip.

Rubin is saying $7+ gasoline soon (2010) and people will be forced off the road.

So demand destruction and higher prices.....which is exactly what the data is saying.






http://youtube.com/watch?v=rh6x9gA2u-A
Old 06-30-2008, 05:28 PM
  #172  
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I'm liking the market right here as a buyer. Prices are cheap and the VIX is rock bottom. I think we're in for a big rebound real soon.
Old 06-30-2008, 05:53 PM
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Originally Posted by cthree,Jun 30 2008, 06:28 PM
I think we're in for a big rebound real soon.
why?
Old 06-30-2008, 07:30 PM
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Originally Posted by wantone,Jun 30 2008, 04:24 PM
Any comments on the economy and the Credit Card market? Where do you guys holding 'V' see it going?
http://www.delawareonline.com/apps/pbcs.dl.../806280320/1003

not a good thing for it but I don't see it going too far down from anything.

growth should remain strong in emerging markets around the world where credit card use will become more prevalent.
Old 06-30-2008, 07:37 PM
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Originally Posted by cthree,Jun 30 2008, 06:28 PM
I'm liking the market right here as a buyer. Prices are cheap and the VIX is rock bottom. I think we're in for a big rebound real soon.
Sure you don't have that backwards?

High VIX would indicate a bottom. Low VIX indicates there it little panic meaning we are not at a bottom.

I still haven't heard any positive economic/big corporate news. The only basis for calling a bottom is looking at valuations. Or you could get lucky and call a bottom right when oil cracks.
Old 07-01-2008, 12:08 AM
  #176  
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vix probably wont' spike to 30+ until you get the commodities, energy and oil sectors collapsing because they are still going very strong.

last 3 times around when vix was 30+, everything was taken out. This time, not yet.
Old 07-01-2008, 04:26 AM
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i think V is fundamentally good, just needs some news for the market to justify breaking out of that high 70's mid 80's range.

sahtt, which refiner are you long? i was holding TSO for a long time and was able to average down and sell for a minor loss, but things aren't really looking good for refiners unless you're hedging against a fall in oil.

which oil driller are you long? they all seem so expensive..
Old 07-01-2008, 06:30 AM
  #178  
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I'm getting hammered by MOS. At this point, I hate to sell and take such a hit and it's fallen enough that I'm wondering if I should start buying more. Anyone have an opinion? I know someone mentioned awhile back they might start buying at 145 -- well it's 138.xx now. What do you think?
Old 07-01-2008, 08:06 AM
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YGE is ripping me a new butt hole =/
Old 07-01-2008, 08:50 AM
  #180  
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Look at the SKF chart -- it's parabolic, i.e. unsustainable. We're gonna have to have a turnaround at some point here.

I personally just wish I had loaded up on SKF at the beginning of May. What a run, and as predictable as ever. I feel like an idiot for not having taken advantage.

- Warren


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