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Old 09-16-2008, 08:13 AM
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Originally Posted by Elistan,Sep 16 2008, 08:00 AM
Wait, wait - I thought "Greed is good."

Not being an expert in this sort of stuff, my impression is that this is way, way more critical than the dot-com bubble burst, no? It's not like the web startups were being sold around as AAA assets like sub-prime mortgages, eh? That just resulted in some VC money losses and some lower employment.

It's hard for me to comprehend the required magnitude of screwed up mortgages that could lead to such a situation. If so many loans are going belly-up, why isn't there some sort of homelessness spike? Personal bankruptcy spikes? Cheap apartment rent spikes?

(My apologies if this isn't appropriate for a nominally stock related thread...)
I saw a video on yahoo finance yesterday where the analysts were actually comparing this to the great depression of the 1920's. They said this is closer to the great depression than the dotcom bust.
Old 09-16-2008, 08:16 AM
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I hope not because the Dow didn't recover to pre-crash 1929 levels until 1954. I don't have 35 years to wait for a recovery!
Old 09-16-2008, 09:45 AM
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I'm with Martha, will be pissed if the Fed guarantees a loan to AIG!

To me, liquidity is part of being a financial entity. Assets are not the be-all of value. We might own a home but if we need cash we might not get a fair loan on it. Cash flow kills MANY smaller businesses and is the reason for the usurious accounts factoring niche.

if you mismanage a private business you should fail. Fannie and Freddie are special cases because their function was always loan guarantees. They might as well have been government-owned from the get-go. For AIG (and LEH and GM and ...) I say let the chips fall where they may. We're headed for big unemployment regardless.
Old 09-16-2008, 11:19 AM
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Bailouts are nothing but a lack of conviction to free enterprise. Free enterprise means that you have the freedom to not only succeed but also fail. An unwillingness to allow failure is denying strong and healthy companies the opportunity to succeed. It's pure socialism.

Save AIG? At what cost? At the expense of the taxpayers and the free market system? To say AIG or anyone else cannot fail is to say they are a monopoly who should be either nationalized or broken into smaller pieces.

I love the conservative hypocrisy.
Old 09-16-2008, 11:28 AM
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Get out your checkbook fellas because we are going to be paying for all this toxic debt :-(
Old 09-16-2008, 11:58 AM
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Originally Posted by cthree,Sep 16 2008, 03:19 PM
I love the conservative hypocrisy.
They should at least publish a list of criteria for what companies will be totally bailed out, which will be loaned money and on what terms, which will be nationalized and which will be allowed to go belly up like a bloated fish washed ashore.
Old 09-16-2008, 12:13 PM
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Originally Posted by cthree,Sep 16 2008, 06:58 AM
It's a hands down "sell the shit out of it" SELL
When I posted about whether AIG was a buy/sell at $3, it was after I had already bought it at $3/sh. Anyway, put a limit order in at $4.50 and a stop loss at $2.30 and it triggered the $4.50 this afternoon.

Not a bad 50% gain in 5 hours.
Old 09-16-2008, 12:32 PM
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me thinks we are gonna have a big bounce in tech. i think adobe and apple will be reporting good news in the next week.
Old 09-16-2008, 01:26 PM
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Originally Posted by QUIKAG,Sep 16 2008, 12:13 PM
When I posted about whether AIG was a buy/sell at $3, it was after I had already bought it at $3/sh. Anyway, put a limit order in at $4.50 and a stop loss at $2.30 and it triggered the $4.50 this afternoon.

Not a bad 50% gain in 5 hours.
You my friend were extremely lucky. I think you should hit AC or LV tonight depending on which is closer.
Old 09-17-2008, 06:46 AM
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I'm actually going to LV today, but it is for business meetings, not to gamble. Well, maybe I'll gamble a bit, but I'm not a big fan.


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